City of San Bernardino Third Ward Election Mailer Number One From Tobin Brinker

By Michael Reiter, Attorney at Law

I recently obtained the first mailer from Tobin Brinker’s reelection campaign in the Third Ward.  The mailer is very professional and very clean.  The campaign theme on the front is one of experience and responsibility and results:

Honest. Hardworking.
Effective leadership
for San Bernardino.

It continues with a quote and a photograph of Council Member Brinker:

“During tough times, you should expect even more
from city leaders. I will continue to bring jobs to
San Bernardino, cut waste at City Hall and protect
the services important to residents.”
— Councilman Tobin Brinker

It finishes with a link to Council Member Brinker’s website.

The rear of the mailer continues the theme of  experience , results and responsibility with: “Experience We Can Trust” and “Commitment to Improving Our City” and the following text:

Real Results for San Bernardino
As some city leaders struggled with the economic downturn, Councilman Tobin
Brinker simply did what all San Bernardino families had to do…he rolled up his
sleeves and worked hard to make things better.
Councilman Tobin Brinker’s hard work has paid off for the families of Ward 3
and all San Bernardino residents. See the results and decide for yourself if he’s been
working hard for us.
Balanced City Budget. As we all have to do in our homes, Councilman
Brinker fought to cut spending and live within our city’s means.
Reduced Crime. Murders, car thefts and robberies are all down citywide,
graffiti removal is faster and school truancy has been been reduced.
Supported Senior Housing Options. Helped protect rent control in senior
housing communities and supports providing more affordable housing
options for seniors.
Improved Local Parks. Reopened Nicholson Park and new KABOOM
playground at Lytle Creek Park.
Attracted and Retained Local Businesses. Assisted in retaining 500
jobs by helping Inland Regional Center stay in San Bernardino and helped
bring Hilton Garden Inn to city.
Created Jobs.

  • 275 jobs created through Perris Campus Plaza project on Tippecanoe Ave.
  • 800 jobs retained in city and 200 more added with Wells Fargo/OPUS call center project on Hospitality Lane.
  • 400 jobs created at Loma Linda University AHSC billing center on Redlands Blvd.

Connect with Councilman Brinker at
www.fb.me/VOTEBRINKER
Re-Elect Councilman Tobin Brinker on November 8th!

There are three pictures, one of Council Member Brinker in clean-up mode, perhaps from the recent City-wide cleanup; a second of Loma Linda University billing center mentioned in the text, and a third with Nicholson Park, also mentioned in the text.

The flier is on-message, and focuses on the things that his challenger, John Valdivia cannot point to: experience as Third Ward Council Member. Jobs is a key issue in the race, and this flier addresses that issue simply.  City infrastructure (pothole politics) is always a local issue of interest, and Council Member Brinker touches on this issue with the “improved local parks” portion of the mailer.  Crime, or the perception of Crime is a perennial issue in San Bernardino politics.

The use of both the Facebook account (as a way to connect to voters), and the website (for more in-depth information) was a good way to tell prospective voters ways to learn more and connect with the campaign.  Contrast that to the first Jim Penman mailer and Chas Kelley’s mailer, which have a telephone number and an email address, which are more traditional ways of contacting a politician.  Both are probably effective, but it shows a different approach.

There is a definite lack of clutter on the mailer.  Part of that is,  as the incumbent, Tobin Brinker does not have to introduce himself to the Third Ward.  If the voter is new or unaware of Tobin Brinker’s background as a teacher, or how long he has lived in the Third Ward, they can get that information at the website, and to a lesser extent at the Facebook page.

More Third Ward Council Election November 8, 2011 Posts: Using Historical Data To Handicap the City of San Bernardino Third Ward City Council Election in November 2011, The San Bernardino Police Officers Association Hit Piece on Tobin Brinker, John Valdivia Sign in the City of Loma Linda, What People Are Searching For In the November 8, 2011 Election.

The information you obtain at this blog is not, nor is it intended to be, legal advice. No attorney-client relationship is established by reading or commenting on this blog. You should consult an attorney for advice regarding your individual situation.

Address : 1255 W. Colton Ave., Suite 104
Redlands, CA 92374
Telephone: (909) 708-6055

An Informative Article On the Effectiveness of Campaign Advertising

By Michael Reiter, Attorney at Law

This article on Nate Silver’s Five Thirty Eight blog at the New York Times site makes some good suggestions regarding campaign advertising.  It’s not written by Nate Silver, but it is full of keen insight that applies not just at the national level, but for local campaigns in San Bernardino County as well.  In part one, the author argues that campaign ads matter more for challengers than incumbents (or for candidates that are more unfamiliar and that advertising matters more when one candidate can outspend another, giving the example of George W. Bush putting two to one more ads than Al Gore two weeks before the 2000 election cost Al Gore 4 percentage points.  Because 2000 was such a tight election, that made a big difference.  The article argues that campaign ads can matter, but not for long.  I think the takeaway is that the impact ads need to come near the time when early voting starts, and near the election.  An attack ad, unless it is sustained assault with wave after wave, should not be attempted in September for an early November election.

If you are interested in the use of statistics in politics, you should bookmark the site.  When it was still at fivethirtyeight.com, Nate Silver posted a lot more frequently, but even as a hot-shot New York Times blogger, the site gets updated multiple times a week.  Also, the comment section is relatively erudite for anonymous internet commenting.

The information you obtain at this blog is not, nor is it intended to be, legal advice. No attorney-client relationship is established by reading or commenting on this blog. You should consult an attorney for advice regarding your individual situation.

Address : 1255 W. Colton Ave., Suite 104
                     Redlands, CA 92374
Telephone: (909) 708-6055
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