Using Historical Data To Handicap The City of San Bernardino Seventh Ward City Council Election in November 2011 Between Wendy McCammack and Jim Mulvihill

By Michael Reiter, Attorney at Law

This is the latest installment in my series about historical election results, and what they may mean in the November 2011 San Bernardino Municipal Election.  The previous posts are about the Fifth WardThird Ward and the City Attorney’s Race.

The 7th Ward Council race is deja vu. The last time incumbent Wendy McCammack ran was four years ago, November 2007:

COUNCIL MEMBER – CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO WARD 7
Vote For 1

20 of 20 Precincts Reporting

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PERCENT

WENDY J. MCCAMMACK 1510 53.15%
JIM MULVIHILL 1057 37.21%
PAUL W. SANBORN 261 9.19%
Write-In 13 0.46%

Council Member McCammack handily beat her former, current and future opponent Jim Mulvihill.  What about four years before?  In November 2002:

CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO

Member City Council,

Ward 7

WENDY McCAMMACK                                1,310   71.47

PAUL W. SANBORN                                  514   28.04

WRITE-IN                                           9    0.49

How about four years before?  On November 2, 1999:

San Bernardino Ward 7
Vote For 1

9 of 9 Precincts Reporting

CANDIDATE

VOTES

PERCENT

PAUL W SANBORN

113

4.4%

ANN ATKINSON

505

19.9%

WENDY J MCCAMMACK

717

28.2%

JIM MULVIHILL

680

26.8%

ALBERT R MARTINEZ

103

4.0%

MANUEL (JUNIOR) MORENO

418

16.4%

That lead to a run-off between Wendy J McCammack and, you guessed it, Jim Mulvihill on March 7, 2000:

MEMBER, CITY COUNCIL-GEN
CITY OF SAN BDNO-WARD 7
#PCT: 11
#RPT: 11
%RPT: 100.0%
Vote for: 1

WENDY J MCCAMMACK

2767

56.4%

JIM MULVIHILL

2136

43.5

 

So, with Paul Sanborn sitting this one out, and Council Member Wendy McCammack taking advantage of Mayor Patrick Morris’ legal difficulties, and Professor Jim Mulvihill not adding any new ideas or tactics from his previous races, it is safe to say that Wendy McCammack will win a fourth term as 7th Ward Council Member.

The information you obtain at this blog is not, nor is it intended to be, legal advice. No attorney-client relationship is established by reading or commenting on this blog. You should consult an attorney for advice regarding your individual situation.

Address : 300 E. State St. Suite 517

                  Redlands CA 92373-5235
Telephone: (909) 708-6055
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About Michael Reiter, Attorney at Law
Michael Reiter is a Redlands, California-based lawyer, serving San Bernardino County and Riverside County in Southern California's Inland Empire. Michael Reiter is a lawyer practicing in the following fields of law: Municipal Law, Code Enforcement Law, Small Business Law and Real Estate Law. Michael Reiter practices in all the local courts, including San Bernardino Superior Court, Riverside Superior Court, and the United States District Court for the Central District of California. Michael Reiter was admitted to the California State Bar in 1998. Michael Reiter was Assistant City Attorney for the City of Redlands, a Deputy City Attorney for the City of San Bernardino, and Staff Attorney for Legal Aid Society of San Bernardino. Michael Reiter serves all of San Bernardino and Riverside County, Orange County, and Los Angeles County. Michael Reiter can be reached at (909) 296-6708, or by electronic mail at michael@michaelreiterlaw.com. 300 E. State St. #517 Redlands CA 92373-5235

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