Using Historical Data To Handicap The City of San Bernardino Seventh Ward City Council Election in November 2011 Between Wendy McCammack and Jim Mulvihill
October 4, 2011 Leave a comment
This is the latest installment in my series about historical election results, and what they may mean in the November 2011 San Bernardino Municipal Election. The previous posts are about the Fifth Ward, Third Ward and the City Attorney’s Race.
The 7th Ward Council race is deja vu. The last time incumbent Wendy McCammack ran was four years ago, November 2007:
|COUNCIL MEMBER – CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO WARD 7|
|Vote For 1||
20 of 20 Precincts Reporting
Council Member McCammack handily beat her former, current and future opponent Jim Mulvihill. What about four years before? In November 2002:
CITY OF SAN BERNARDINO
Member City Council,
WENDY McCAMMACK 1,310 71.47
PAUL W. SANBORN 514 28.04
WRITE-IN 9 0.49
How about four years before? On November 2, 1999:
|San Bernardino Ward 7|
That lead to a run-off between Wendy J McCammack and, you guessed it, Jim Mulvihill on March 7, 2000:
MEMBER, CITY COUNCIL-GEN
CITY OF SAN BDNO-WARD 7
Vote for: 1
WENDY J MCCAMMACK
So, with Paul Sanborn sitting this one out, and Council Member Wendy McCammack taking advantage of Mayor Patrick Morris’ legal difficulties, and Professor Jim Mulvihill not adding any new ideas or tactics from his previous races, it is safe to say that Wendy McCammack will win a fourth term as 7th Ward Council Member.
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